Deriv trade typesUpdated 3 min readBy the FXNOD team
Over/Under on Deriv: the odds for every digit
In Over/Under you pick a digit and predict whether the last digit of the final tick will be greater than it or less than it. The digit you choose sets the odds exactly: Over 3 wins on 4 to 9, six digits in ten. Landing on your chosen digit loses. Easier choices pay less and harder ones pay more.
The odds for every choice
| Contract | Winning digits | Chance | Profit per 1 staked to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0 / Under 9 | 9 | 90% | 0.11 |
| Over 1 / Under 8 | 8 | 80% | 0.25 |
| Over 2 / Under 7 | 7 | 70% | 0.43 |
| Over 3 / Under 6 | 6 | 60% | 0.67 |
| Over 4 / Under 5 | 5 | 50% | 1.00 |
| Over 5 / Under 4 | 4 | 40% | 1.50 |
| Over 6 / Under 3 | 3 | 30% | 2.33 |
| Over 7 / Under 2 | 2 | 20% | 4.00 |
| Over 8 / Under 1 | 1 | 10% | 9.00 |
The last column is the profit a fair contract would pay. The payout Deriv quotes is lower, and the difference is what the contract costs. The same cost exists on every row, so no row is a better deal than another.
The detail people miss
The chosen digit itself loses on both sides. Over 5 loses on a 5, and Under 5 loses on a 5. That is why Over 4 and Under 5 are the two even-chance choices, and why Over 5 is a 40% trade, not a 50% one.
Choosing the shape of your results
- High-chance rows, such as Over 1, win often and pay little. One loss cancels four wins or more.
- Low-chance rows, such as Over 7, lose most of the time and pay well.
- Middle rows behave like Even/Odd.
Switching sides after a loss
A popular rule starts on one side and takes the other after a loss. Because each digit is independent, switching neither helps nor hurts the odds of the next trade. What matters is the stake you place on it.
In FXNOD
Over/Under is in Trade Pilot and Bot Forge. One Bot Forge template starts on Under 7, a 70% trade, and takes the other side after a loss.
Questions people ask
- What does Over 3 mean?
- The contract wins if the last digit is 4, 5, 6, 7, 8 or 9. Deriv's own example says it loses on 0, 1, 2 or 3.
- What is the safest Over/Under choice?
- Over 0 and Under 9 win most often, about nine times in ten, and pay the least. Winning often is not the same as being safe.
- Is Over 4 the same as Under 5?
- In odds, yes: each wins on five digits. They win on different digits.
Try this contract on demo
Every trade type in these guides is in Trade Pilot, and a bot in Bot Forge can buy it. Read the quoted payout and try it with Deriv's virtual funds.
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